Ciryl Gane vs Serghei Spivac
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record18-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
81"Reach 78"
250 lbsWeight256 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamPolar Bear Team
What's at stake
Ciryl Gane is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Serghei Spivac carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1843
If they lose-21→ 1811
If they win+21→ 1730
If they lose-11→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1780 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ciryl GaneSerghei Spivac
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ciryl Gane67%
Serghei Spivac 33%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Ciryl Gane a 67% favorite over Serghei Spivac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Ciryl Gane holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1832 to 1709, a 123-point edge.
Ciryl Gane enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ciryl Gane finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Serghei Spivac 83%.
Ciryl Gane and Serghei Spivac share 1 common opponent: Derrick Lewis.
Ciryl Gane carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.