Ciryl Gane vs Tai Tuivasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
81"Reach75"
250 lbsWeight265 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamLions High Performance Centre
What's at stake
Ciryl Gane is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Tai Tuivasa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1839
If they lose-25→ 1807
If they win+25→ 1636
If they lose-7→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1780 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ciryl GaneTai Tuivasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ciryl Gane87%
Tai Tuivasa 13%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Ciryl Gane a 87% favorite over Tai Tuivasa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Ciryl Gane holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1832 to 1611, a 221-point edge.
Ciryl Gane enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Ciryl Gane finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.
Ciryl Gane and Tai Tuivasa share 3 common opponents: Alexander Volkov, Derrick Lewis and Jairzinho Rozenstruik.
Ciryl Gane carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.