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Combat Edge Intelligence

CJ Fernandes vs Viktor Červinský

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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CJ Fernandes
us

CJ Fernandes

14-8-3WelterweightFinney's HIT Squad

1539Average

Tale of the tape

14-8-3Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

CJ FernandesNow 1539
If they win+16→ 1555
If they lose-16→ 1523
Viktor ČervinskýNow 1537
If they win+24→ 1561
If they lose-24→ 1513

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

CJ FernandesViktor Červinský
15501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
2 (14%)
Submission
3 (60%)
2 (14%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Viktor Červinský54%
CJ Fernandes 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Viktor Červinský a 54% favorite over CJ Fernandes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans CJ Fernandes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1537), separated by just 2 points.

CJ Fernandes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

CJ Fernandes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Viktor Červinský 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.