CJ Jimenez vs Gavin Ceniseros
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-5-0Record0-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1612 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamAngelo MMA
What's at stake
CJ Jimenez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Gavin Ceniseros carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1476
If they lose-17→ 1444
If they win+26→ 1461
If they lose-22→ 1413
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
CJ JimenezGavin Ceniseros
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gavin Ceniseros56%
CJ Jimenez 44%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Gavin Ceniseros a 56% favorite over CJ Jimenez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans CJ Jimenez's way (46%).
CJ Jimenez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1461 to 1435, a 26-point edge.
Gavin Ceniseros enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
CJ Jimenez finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.