Combat Edge Intelligence

Cj Vergara vs Maysara Mohamed

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-7-1Record10-3-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68" Reach68"
127 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pete Spratt American Muay ThaiTeamTROOPS MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cj VergaraNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Maysara MohamedNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.10
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
57%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
61%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.18
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cj VergaraMaysara Mohamed
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (42%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Maysara Mohamed83%
Cj Vergara 17%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Maysara Mohamed a 83% favorite over Cj Vergara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1601), separated by just 3 points.

Cj Vergara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cj Vergara finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Maysara Mohamed 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.