Combat Edge Intelligence

Cláudio Nardo vs David Zawada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
-Reach75"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Dojo SamuraiTeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cláudio NardoNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
David ZawadaNow 1560
If they win+12→ 1572
If they lose-12→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.97
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Cláudio NardoDavid Zawada
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (25%)
4 (50%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Cláudio Nardo51%
David Zawada 49%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Cláudio Nardo a 51% favorite over David Zawada in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1560), separated by just 9 points.

Cláudio Nardo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, David Zawada 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.