Combat Edge Intelligence

Cláudio Nardo vs Gabriel Vinicius

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record8-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Dojo SamuraiTeamCerrado MMA

What's at stake

Gabriel Vinicius is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +17 while a loss costs more — Cláudio Nardo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cláudio NardoNow 1565
If they win+21→ 1586
If they lose-11→ 1554
Gabriel ViniciusNow 1671
If they win+17→ 1688
If they lose-31→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cláudio NardoGabriel Vinicius
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (50%)
4 (50%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Gabriel Vinicius92%
Cláudio Nardo 8%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Vinicius a 92% favorite over Cláudio Nardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Gabriel Vinicius holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1671 to 1565, a 106-point edge.

Gabriel Vinicius enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Cláudio Nardo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Vinicius 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.