Combat Edge Intelligence

Cláudio Nardo vs Hector Urbina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record17-11-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
-Reach73,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dojo SamuraiTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cláudio NardoNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
Hector UrbinaNow 1566
If they win+12→ 1578
If they lose-12→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.97
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
TBD
Strike defense
39%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
38%
TBD
Submission avg.
3.82

Trajectory

Cláudio NardoHector Urbina
15501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (56%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (31%)
4 (50%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Cláudio Nardo71%
Hector Urbina 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cláudio Nardo a 71% favorite over Hector Urbina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1566), separated by just 3 points.

Hector Urbina enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cláudio Nardo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Hector Urbina 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.