Combat Edge Intelligence

Claude Patrick vs Daniel Roberts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record15-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elite Mixed FightersTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team

What's at stake

Claude Patrick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Daniel Roberts carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Claude PatrickNow 1689
If they win+10→ 1699
If they lose-22→ 1667
Daniel RobertsNow 1563
If they win+22→ 1585
If they lose-10→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.80
Sig. strikes / min
0.73
56%
Strike accuracy
20%
0.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
70%
Strike defense
46%
2.32
Takedown avg.
2.46
53%
Takedown accuracy
44%
84%
Takedown defense
40%
1.74
Submission avg.
2.46

Trajectory

Claude PatrickDaniel Roberts
155016001650170020102011201220132014

Win method breakdown

3 (21%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
9 (64%)
Submission
9 (60%)
2 (14%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Claude Patrick78%
Daniel Roberts 22%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Claude Patrick a 78% favorite over Daniel Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Claude Patrick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1689 to 1563, a 126-point edge.

Claude Patrick finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Roberts 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.