Combat Edge Intelligence

Claudia Leite vs Tainara Lisboa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
TBDReach67"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamDamas 013

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Claudia LeiteNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Tainara LisboaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.27
Sig. strikes / min
1.68
48%
Strike accuracy
43%
1.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.42
57%
Strike defense
49%
1
Takedown avg.
1.53
25%
Takedown accuracy
36%
0%
Takedown defense
58%
1
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Claudia LeiteTainara Lisboa
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
1 (11%)
Submission
3 (43%)
3 (33%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Claudia Leite66%
Tainara Lisboa 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Claudia Leite a 66% favorite over Tainara Lisboa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tainara Lisboa's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1588), separated by just 1 points.

Tainara Lisboa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Claudia Leite finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tainara Lisboa 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.