Combat Edge Intelligence

Claudio Puelles vs Dan Hooker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Hooker
nz

Dan Hooker

“The Hangman”

24-14-0LightweightUFC

1725Good

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record24-14-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"Reach 75"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamCity Kickboxing

What's at stake

Dan Hooker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Claudio Puelles carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Claudio PuellesNow 1648
If they win+19→ 1667
If they lose-13→ 1635
Dan HookerNow 1725
If they win+9→ 1734
If they lose-15→ 1710

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.56
Sig. strikes / min
4.89
50%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.73
46%
Strike defense
51%
3.17
Takedown avg.
0.71
37%
Takedown accuracy
34%
60%
Takedown defense
77%
1.17
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Claudio PuellesDan Hooker
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
11 (46%)
7 (58%)
Submission
7 (29%)
3 (25%)
Decision
6 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Dan Hooker71%
Claudio Puelles 29%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Dan Hooker a 71% favorite over Claudio Puelles in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Dan Hooker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1648, a 77-point edge.

Claudio Puelles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dan Hooker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Claudio Puelles finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Dan Hooker 75%.

Dan Hooker carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.