Claudio Puelles vs Joe Lauzon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record28-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
72"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Claudio PuellesJoe Lauzon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Claudio Puelles70%
Joe Lauzon 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Claudio Puelles a 70% favorite over Joe Lauzon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Lauzon's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1649), separated by just 1 points.
Claudio Puelles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Claudio Puelles finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Joe Lauzon 93%.
Claudio Puelles and Joe Lauzon share 2 common opponents: Clay Guida and Chris Gruetzemacher.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.