Combat Edge Intelligence

Claudio Puelles vs Jordan Leavitt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record13-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"Reach71"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

Jordan Leavitt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Claudio Puelles carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Claudio PuellesNow 1648
If they win+18→ 1666
If they lose-14→ 1634
Jordan LeavittNow 1693
If they win+14→ 1707
If they lose-18→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.56
Sig. strikes / min
2.21
50%
Strike accuracy
57%
2.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.59
46%
Strike defense
59%
3.17
Takedown avg.
3.15
37%
Takedown accuracy
34%
60%
Takedown defense
30%
1.17
Submission avg.
1.05

Trajectory

Claudio PuellesJordan Leavitt
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
7 (58%)
Submission
7 (54%)
3 (25%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Jordan Leavitt71%
Claudio Puelles 29%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Leavitt a 71% favorite over Claudio Puelles in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jordan Leavitt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1648, a 45-point edge.

Claudio Puelles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Claudio Puelles finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Leavitt 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.