Combat Edge Intelligence

Claudio Puelles vs Marcos Rosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Marcos Rosa
br

Marcos Rosa

“Digao”

2-3-0LightweightCESB

1485Average

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record2-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"HeightTBD
72"Reach45.00
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Nogueira Porto Alegre

What's at stake

Claudio Puelles is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Marcos Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Claudio PuellesNow 1648
If they win+9→ 1657
If they lose-23→ 1625
Marcos RosaNow 1485
If they win+35→ 1520
If they lose-13→ 1472

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.56
Sig. strikes / min
0.25
50%
Strike accuracy
28%
2.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.11
46%
Strike defense
43%
3.17
Takedown avg.
0
37%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
29%
1.17
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Claudio PuellesMarcos Rosa
1500155016001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
7 (58%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Claudio Puelles78%
Marcos Rosa 22%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Claudio Puelles a 78% favorite over Marcos Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Claudio Puelles holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1485, a 163-point edge.

Claudio Puelles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Claudio Puelles finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.