Combat Edge Intelligence

Claudio Puelles vs Marcus Aurelio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record22-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
72"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamElite Mixed Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Claudio PuellesNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Marcus AurelioNow 1649
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.56
Sig. strikes / min
2.36
50%
Strike accuracy
33%
2.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.59
46%
Strike defense
60%
3.17
Takedown avg.
1.16
37%
Takedown accuracy
14%
60%
Takedown defense
28%
1.17
Submission avg.
0.70

Trajectory

Claudio PuellesMarcus Aurelio
1650201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
5 (23%)
7 (58%)
Submission
14 (64%)
3 (25%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Claudio Puelles62%
Marcus Aurelio 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Claudio Puelles a 62% favorite over Marcus Aurelio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcus Aurelio's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1649), separated by just 1 points.

Claudio Puelles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Claudio Puelles finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Aurelio 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.