Combat Edge Intelligence

Claudio Silva vs Danny Roberts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Roberts

Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record18-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
71"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamTeam McHale

What's at stake

Claudio Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Danny Roberts carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Claudio SilvaNow 1661
If they win+14→ 1675
If they lose-18→ 1643
Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+18→ 1635
If they lose-14→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.48
Sig. strikes / min
3.18
42%
Strike accuracy
40%
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
46%
Strike defense
51%
2.85
Takedown avg.
0.24
27%
Takedown accuracy
10%
44%
Takedown defense
58%
1.11
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Claudio SilvaDanny Roberts
160016501700202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
9 (64%)
Submission
5 (28%)
3 (21%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Claudio Silva56%
Danny Roberts 44%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Claudio Silva a 56% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Claudio Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1617, a 44-point edge.

Claudio Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Claudio Silva finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Danny Roberts 72%.

Danny Roberts carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.