Claudio Silva vs Leon Edwards
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record22-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
71"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamTeam Renegade
What's at stake
Leon Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Claudio Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1683
If they lose-10→ 1651
If they win+8→ 1804
If they lose-16→ 1780
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1780 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Claudio SilvaLeon Edwards
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leon Edwards84%
Claudio Silva 16%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Leon Edwards a 84% favorite over Claudio Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Leon Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1796 to 1661, a 135-point edge.
Claudio Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Claudio Silva finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Leon Edwards 45%.
Leon Edwards carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.