Combat Edge Intelligence

Clay Collard vs Gabriel Benítez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-13-0Record23-12-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73.00"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Four7 Training CenterTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Clay Collard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gabriel Benítez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Clay CollardNow 1635
If they win+10→ 1645
If they lose-14→ 1621
Gabriel BenítezNow 1584
If they win+14→ 1598
If they lose-10→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.22
Sig. strikes / min
5.26
32%
Strike accuracy
42%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
51%
Strike defense
64%
2.81
Takedown avg.
0.22
39%
Takedown accuracy
50%
71%
Takedown defense
56%
0.51
Submission avg.
0.86

Trajectory

Clay CollardGabriel Benítez
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (48%)
KO/TKO
9 (39%)
3 (12%)
Submission
10 (43%)
10 (40%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Clay Collard66%
Gabriel Benítez 34%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Clay Collard a 66% favorite over Gabriel Benítez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Clay Collard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1584, a 51-point edge.

Clay Collard enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gabriel Benítez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Clay Collard finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Benítez 83%.

Clay Collard carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.