Combat Edge Intelligence

Clay Collard vs Jeka Saragih

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jeka Saragih
id

Jeka Saragih

“Si Tendangan Maut”

14-5-0FeatherweightUFC

1633Solid

Tale of the tape

25-13-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73.00"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Four7 Training CenterTeamBatam Fighter Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Clay CollardNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
Jeka SaragihNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.22
Sig. strikes / min
0
32%
Strike accuracy
50%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.65
51%
Strike defense
41%
2.81
Takedown avg.
2.21
39%
Takedown accuracy
80%
71%
Takedown defense
66%
0.51
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Clay CollardJeka Saragih
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (48%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
3 (12%)
Submission
4 (29%)
10 (40%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeka Saragih59%
Clay Collard 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeka Saragih a 59% favorite over Clay Collard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Clay Collard's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1633), separated by just 2 points.

Clay Collard enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jeka Saragih enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Clay Collard finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Jeka Saragih 93%.

Clay Collard carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.