Clay Collard vs Justin Gonzales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
25-13-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73.00"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Four7 Training CenterTeamTop Notch MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1640
If they lose-12→ 1616
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Clay CollardJustin Gonzales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Clay Collard55%
Justin Gonzales 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Clay Collard a 55% favorite over Justin Gonzales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1628), separated by just 0 points.
Clay Collard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Justin Gonzales enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Clay Collard finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Justin Gonzales 36%.
Clay Collard and Justin Gonzales share 1 common opponent: Mads Burnell.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.