Clay Collard vs Kevin Rosas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-13-0Record7-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73.00"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Four7 Training CenterTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1640
If they lose-12→ 1616
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Clay CollardKevin Rosas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Clay Collard67%
Kevin Rosas 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Clay Collard a 67% favorite over Kevin Rosas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.
Clay Collard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kevin Rosas enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Clay Collard finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Rosas 86%.
Clay Collard carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.