Combat Edge Intelligence

Clay Collard vs Martin Bravo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-13-0Record13-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73.00"Reach38,0"
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
Four7 Training CenterTeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Clay CollardNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
Martin BravoNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.22
Sig. strikes / min
7.66
32%
Strike accuracy
40%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.72
51%
Strike defense
51%
2.81
Takedown avg.
2.60
39%
Takedown accuracy
36%
71%
Takedown defense
86%
0.51
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Clay CollardMartin Bravo
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (48%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
3 (12%)
Submission
6 (46%)
10 (40%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Martin Bravo63%
Clay Collard 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Martin Bravo a 63% favorite over Clay Collard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.

Clay Collard enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Clay Collard finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Martin Bravo 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.