Combat Edge Intelligence

Clay French vs Dan Moret

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Moret
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Dan Moret

“The Hitman”

16-8-0LightweightXFC

1611Solid

Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record16-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height6'0"
TBDReach73,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gilbert GrapplingTeamMinnesota Martial Arts Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Clay FrenchNow 1610
If they win+12→ 1622
If they lose-12→ 1598
Dan MoretNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.67
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.56
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.25
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
45%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Clay FrenchDan Moret
160016502012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
11 (58%)
Submission
9 (56%)
6 (32%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Clay French52%
Dan Moret 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Clay French a 52% favorite over Dan Moret in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Moret's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1611), separated by just 1 points.

Clay French finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Dan Moret 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.