Clay Guida vs Dennis Bermudez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-25-0Record17-9-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"Reach66,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamLong Island MMA
What's at stake
Dennis Bermudez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Clay Guida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1612
If they lose-11→ 1588
If they win+11→ 1640
If they lose-13→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Clay GuidaDennis Bermudez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dennis Bermudez70%
Clay Guida 30%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Dennis Bermudez a 70% favorite over Clay Guida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Dennis Bermudez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1629 to 1599, a 30-point edge.
Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Clay Guida finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Dennis Bermudez 41%.
Clay Guida carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.