Clay Guida vs Gleristone Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-25-0Record35-12-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
70"Reach70,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamPitbull Brothers· 1624 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Clay GuidaGleristone Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gleristone Santos70%
Clay Guida 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gleristone Santos a 70% favorite over Clay Guida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Clay Guida's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1599), separated by just 0 points.
Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gleristone Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Clay Guida finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Gleristone Santos 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.