Clay Guida vs Gray Maynard
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
38-25-0Record13-7-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"Reach70,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Gray Maynard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Clay Guida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1612
If they lose-11→ 1588
If they win+15→ 1634
If they lose-17→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Clay GuidaGray Maynard
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gray Maynard70%
Clay Guida 30%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Gray Maynard a 70% favorite over Clay Guida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Gray Maynard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1599, a 20-point edge.
Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Clay Guida finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Gray Maynard 15%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.