Clay Guida vs Justin James
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-25-0Record13-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Clay Guida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Justin James carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1607
If they lose-15→ 1583
If they win+29→ 1549
If they lose-19→ 1501
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Clay GuidaJustin James
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Clay Guida71%
Justin James 29%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Clay Guida a 71% favorite over Justin James in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Clay Guida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1598 to 1520, a 78-point edge.
Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Clay Guida finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Justin James 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.