Clay Guida vs Kenny Florian
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
38-25-0Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamFlorian Martial Arts Center
What's at stake
Kenny Florian is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Clay Guida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1613
If they lose-10→ 1589
If they win+13→ 1674
If they lose-19→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Clay GuidaKenny Florian
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kenny Florian72%
Clay Guida 28%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Kenny Florian a 72% favorite over Clay Guida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Kenny Florian holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1599, a 62-point edge.
Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kenny Florian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Clay Guida finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Kenny Florian 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.