Clay Guida vs Robbie Peralta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-25-0Record19-9-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamTeam Xplode MMA
What's at stake
Clay Guida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Robbie Peralta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1609
If they lose-14→ 1585
If they win+19→ 1557
If they lose-13→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Clay GuidaRobbie Peralta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robbie Peralta55%
Clay Guida 45%Elo baseline: 41%
The Combat Edge model makes Robbie Peralta a 55% favorite over Clay Guida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Clay Guida's way (41%).
Clay Guida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1599 to 1538, a 61-point edge.
Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Robbie Peralta enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Clay Guida finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Robbie Peralta 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.