Clay Guida vs Roger Huerta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
38-25-0Record24-13-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamAllstars Training Center· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Clay Guida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Roger Huerta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1609
If they lose-13→ 1585
If they win+13→ 1594
If they lose-11→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Clay GuidaRoger Huerta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Clay Guida and Roger Huerta within a point of even.
Clay Guida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1598 to 1581, a 17-point edge.
Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Roger Huerta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Clay Guida finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Roger Huerta 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.