Clay Guida vs Samy Schiavo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-25-0Record10-6-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamBushido Academie
What's at stake
Clay Guida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Samy Schiavo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1606
If they lose-17→ 1582
If they win+22→ 1484
If they lose-10→ 1452
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Clay GuidaSamy Schiavo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Clay Guida70%
Samy Schiavo 30%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Clay Guida a 70% favorite over Samy Schiavo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Clay Guida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1599 to 1462, a 137-point edge.
Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Samy Schiavo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Clay Guida finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Samy Schiavo 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.