Clay Guida vs Takanori Gomi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-25-0Record35-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"Reach70,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamKugayama Rascal
What's at stake
Takanori Gomi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Clay Guida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1612
If they lose-10→ 1588
If they win+10→ 1674
If they lose-14→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1646 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Clay GuidaTakanori Gomi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Takanori Gomi59%
Clay Guida 41%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Takanori Gomi a 59% favorite over Clay Guida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Takanori Gomi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1598, a 66-point edge.
Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Clay Guida finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Takanori Gomi 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.