Clay Guida vs Tyson Griffin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-25-0Record17-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1638 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Clay Guida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tyson Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1609
If they lose-13→ 1585
If they win+17→ 1597
If they lose-15→ 1565
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Clay GuidaTyson Griffin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Clay Guida and Tyson Griffin within a point of even.
Clay Guida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1598 to 1580, a 18-point edge.
Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Clay Guida finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Griffin 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.