Clay Harvison vs DaMarques Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-9-0Record15-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
160 lbsWeight170 lbs
Madhouse TrainingTeamElite Performance
What's at stake
DaMarques Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Clay Harvison carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1543
If they lose-14→ 1511
If they win+14→ 1576
If they lose-18→ 1544
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Clay HarvisonDaMarques Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
DaMarques Johnson63%
Clay Harvison 37%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes DaMarques Johnson a 63% favorite over Clay Harvison in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
DaMarques Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1562 to 1525, a 37-point edge.
DaMarques Johnson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Clay Harvison finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, DaMarques Johnson 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.