Clay Harvison vs Joshua Sierra
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-9-0Record4-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReach69"
160 lbsWeight171 lbs
Madhouse TrainingTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1541
If they lose-16→ 1509
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Clay HarvisonJoshua Sierra
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Sierra55%
Clay Harvison 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Sierra a 55% favorite over Clay Harvison in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Clay Harvison's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1523), separated by just 2 points.
Clay Harvison finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Sierra 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.