Combat Edge Intelligence

Clayton Carpenter vs Cody Durden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody Durden
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Cody Durden

“Custom Made”

18-11-1FlyweightUFC

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record18-11-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
66"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Clayton CarpenterNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Cody DurdenNow 1625
If they win+12→ 1637
If they lose-12→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
3.24
54%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.94
56%
Strike defense
51%
1.99
Takedown avg.
3.99
46%
Takedown accuracy
10%
38%
Takedown defense
57%
1.33
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Clayton CarpenterCody Durden
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
4 (50%)
Submission
6 (33%)
2 (25%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Clayton Carpenter and Cody Durden within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1625), separated by just 1 points.

Clayton Carpenter enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Clayton Carpenter finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Cody Durden 67%.

Clayton Carpenter and Cody Durden share 3 common opponents: Jose Ochoa, Jafel Filho and Tagir Ulanbekov.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossSubmission · 2025
Jafel Filho
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2026
Jose Ochoa
LossKO · 2025
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Tagir Ulanbekov
LossSubmission · 2023