Clayton Carpenter vs Ian McCall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record13-7-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA LabTeamTeam Oyama
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Clayton CarpenterIan McCall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Clayton Carpenter60%
Ian McCall 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Clayton Carpenter a 60% favorite over Ian McCall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1623), separated by just 4 points.
Clayton Carpenter enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ian McCall enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Clayton Carpenter finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ian McCall 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.