Combat Edge Intelligence

Clayton Carpenter vs Jimmy Flick

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jimmy Flick
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Jimmy Flick

“The Brick”

17-9-0FlyweightUFC

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record17-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
66"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA LabTeamThunderkick Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Clayton CarpenterNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Jimmy FlickNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
1.94
54%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.43
56%
Strike defense
43%
1.99
Takedown avg.
1.55
46%
Takedown accuracy
22%
38%
Takedown defense
0%
1.33
Submission avg.
4.34

Trajectory

Clayton CarpenterJimmy Flick
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (50%)
Submission
15 (88%)
2 (25%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Clayton Carpenter56%
Jimmy Flick 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Clayton Carpenter a 56% favorite over Jimmy Flick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1625), separated by just 2 points.

Clayton Carpenter enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jimmy Flick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Clayton Carpenter finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jimmy Flick 88%.

Jimmy Flick carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.