Clayton Carpenter vs Jose Ochoa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record9-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
66"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA LabTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Jose Ochoa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Clayton Carpenter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1646
If they lose-14→ 1614
If they win+14→ 1686
If they lose-18→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Clayton CarpenterJose Ochoa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jose Ochoa61%
Clayton Carpenter 39%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Jose Ochoa a 61% favorite over Clayton Carpenter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Jose Ochoa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1628, a 44-point edge.
Clayton Carpenter enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jose Ochoa enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Clayton Carpenter finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jose Ochoa 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.