Combat Edge Intelligence

Clayton Carpenter vs Kyohei Takagi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kyohei Takagi
jp

Kyohei Takagi

“Phoenix / Hinotori”

6-1-0FlyweightRFF

1628Solid

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record6-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
66"Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA LabTeamBrave

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Clayton CarpenterNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Kyohei TakagiNow 1628
If they win+24→ 1652
If they lose-24→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
54%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
1.99
Takedown avg.
TBD
46%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
38%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.33
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Clayton CarpenterKyohei Takagi
155016001650170020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
4 (50%)
Submission
1 (17%)
2 (25%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyohei Takagi53%
Clayton Carpenter 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyohei Takagi a 53% favorite over Clayton Carpenter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1628), separated by just 2 points.

Clayton Carpenter enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kyohei Takagi enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Clayton Carpenter finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kyohei Takagi 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.