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Combat Edge Intelligence

Clayton Carpenter vs Mridul Saikia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record9-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
66"Reach68.5"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Clayton CarpenterNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Mridul SaikiaNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
54%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
1.99
Takedown avg.
Not available
46%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
38%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.33
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Clayton CarpenterMridul Saikia
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
4 (50%)
Submission
5 (56%)
2 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Clayton Carpenter58%
Mridul Saikia 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Clayton Carpenter a 58% favorite over Mridul Saikia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mridul Saikia's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1631), separated by just 3 points.

Clayton Carpenter enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Clayton Carpenter finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mridul Saikia 100%.

Mridul Saikia carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.