Clayton Carpenter vs Ryohei Kurosawa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record20-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
66"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA LabTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1645 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Clayton CarpenterRyohei Kurosawa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Clayton Carpenter55%
Ryohei Kurosawa 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Clayton Carpenter a 55% favorite over Ryohei Kurosawa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1626), separated by just 2 points.
Clayton Carpenter enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryohei Kurosawa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Clayton Carpenter finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ryohei Kurosawa 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.