Clayton Carpenter vs Thiago Taveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record11-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
66"Reach-
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
MMA LabTeamInside Muay Thai· 1671 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Clayton CarpenterThiago Taveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Clayton Carpenter58%
Thiago Taveira 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Clayton Carpenter a 58% favorite over Thiago Taveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1628), separated by just 1 points.
Clayton Carpenter enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Clayton Carpenter finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Taveira 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.