Combat Edge Intelligence

Clayton Carpenter vs Will Campuzano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record14-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'9"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA LabTeamCampuzano Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Clayton CarpenterNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Will CampuzanoNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
2.43
54%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
56%
Strike defense
57%
1.99
Takedown avg.
0.88
46%
Takedown accuracy
45%
38%
Takedown defense
48%
1.33
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Clayton CarpenterWill Campuzano
16001650170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
4 (50%)
Submission
4 (29%)
2 (25%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Clayton Carpenter60%
Will Campuzano 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Clayton Carpenter a 60% favorite over Will Campuzano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1623), separated by just 4 points.

Clayton Carpenter enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Clayton Carpenter finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Will Campuzano 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.