AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Clayton Carpenter vs Xhelal Lleshi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record6-1-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight130 lbs
MMA LabTeamDante Rivera BJJ· 1666 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Clayton CarpenterNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Xhelal LleshiNow 1627
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
54%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
1.99
Takedown avg.
Not available
46%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
38%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.33
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Clayton CarpenterXhelal Lleshi
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
4 (50%)
Submission
2 (33%)
2 (25%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Clayton Carpenter64%
Xhelal Lleshi 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Clayton Carpenter a 64% favorite over Xhelal Lleshi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.

Clayton Carpenter enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Xhelal Lleshi enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Clayton Carpenter finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Xhelal Lleshi 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.