Combat Edge Intelligence

Clifford Starks vs Dustin Jacoby

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dustin Jacoby
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Dustin Jacoby

“The Hanyak”

22-10-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1695Good

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record22-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'4"
TBDReach76"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

Dustin Jacoby is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Clifford Starks carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Clifford StarksNow 1615
If they win+20→ 1635
If they lose-12→ 1603
Dustin JacobyNow 1695
If they win+9→ 1704
If they lose-15→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.94
Sig. strikes / min
5.40
33%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
59%
Strike defense
58%
1.94
Takedown avg.
0.32
100%
Takedown accuracy
13%
60%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Clifford StarksDustin Jacoby
16001650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (21%)
KO/TKO
15 (68%)
4 (29%)
Submission
1 (5%)
7 (50%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Jacoby78%
Clifford Starks 22%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Jacoby a 78% favorite over Clifford Starks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Dustin Jacoby holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1615, a 80-point edge.

Clifford Starks finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Jacoby 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.