Clifford Starks vs Ed Herman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record26-16-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamAmerican Top Team Portland
What's at stake
Ed Herman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Clifford Starks carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1624
If they lose-14→ 1592
If they win+11→ 1653
If they lose-13→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Clifford StarksEd Herman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Clifford Starks51%
Ed Herman 49%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Clifford Starks a 51% favorite over Ed Herman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ed Herman's way (45%).
Ed Herman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1606, a 36-point edge.
Ed Herman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Clifford Starks finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ed Herman 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.