Clint Coronel vs Raphael Mebenga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-5-0Record1-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Shamrock Submission Fight TeamTeam
What's at stake
Raphael Mebenga is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Clint Coronel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1443
If they lose-22→ 1395
If they win+22→ 1471
If they lose-26→ 1423
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Clint CoronelRaphael Mebenga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Clint Coronel and Raphael Mebenga within a point of even.
Raphael Mebenga holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1449 to 1417, a 32-point edge.
Clint Coronel enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Raphael Mebenga enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.