Clint Hester vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record22-9-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
77,0"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight262 lbs
X3 SportsTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Marcos Rogerio de Lima is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Clint Hester carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1558
If they lose-10→ 1526
If they win+10→ 1683
If they lose-22→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Clint HesterMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Rogerio de Lima65%
Clint Hester 35%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Rogerio de Lima a 65% favorite over Clint Hester in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Marcos Rogerio de Lima holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1673 to 1536, a 137-point edge.
Clint Hester enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Clint Hester finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Rogerio de Lima 82%.
Clint Hester carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.