Combat Edge Intelligence

Cláudio Nardo vs Daichi Abe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record13-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-Reach42,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dojo SamuraiTeamFreelance· 1622 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cláudio NardoNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
Daichi AbeNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.80
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.33
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cláudio NardoDaichi Abe
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (50%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Cláudio Nardo60%
Daichi Abe 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cláudio Nardo a 60% favorite over Daichi Abe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1568), separated by just 1 points.

Cláudio Nardo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Daichi Abe 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.